印度会解体吗

  Will India collapse?

  印度会解体吗?

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  以下是quora读者的评论:

  Harrison Shone

  It is hard to predict weather or not India will collapse entirely. They have a functional go nment, a military the Indian people are proud of, a fast growing economy and something resembling a unified national identity. However, there is no getting around the fact that India right now is facing a series of crises that are near impossible to deal with in the current geopolitical atmosphere and local political situation...

  很难猜测印度会不会完整解体。印度有一个功用完备确当局,一支令印度人平易近引认为傲的部队,快速增加的经济,和某种一致的平易近族认同感。但没法回避的抱负是,印度今朝正面对一系列危机,在以后的地缘政治气氛和外地政治形式下,这些危机简直是不能够处理的。

  1.In spite of the growth of the Indian middle class over the past few years, the overwhelming majority of the country is living in a level of poverty which, according to a United Nations report, is more severe than most African countries.

  2.The monsoon cycle in some parts of India is essentially six months of floods and six months of drought. Crops are easily destroyed in these environments and there simply aren't enough farms in India to feed the population in the long term.

  1.固然印度中产阶层在过去几年里不时强大年夜,但该国绝大年夜少数人仍生活在贫困当中。依据联合国的一份申报,印度的贫困水平比大年夜少数非洲国家还要严重。

  2.印度局部地区的季风周期基本上意味着六个月的洪水和六个月的干旱。在这类情况下,农作物很轻易被破坏,从久远来看,印度基本没有足够的农田来赡养宏大年夜的人口。

  3.Foreign corporations which exploit India's working population for cheep labor have too much control over the go nment.

  4.India's population is currently at 1.25 billion. By 2050 it is expected to hit 1.52 billion, surpassing even China which is expected to be hovering around 1.29 billion. The current population growth is unsustainable. There won't be enough food available, jobs will be scarce and famines and plagues would be unavoidable even with international aid. Lack of contraceptives hasn't helped, and the go nment has done almost nothing to stop the population growth. At this point even if they were to implement a one-child policy similar to the one in China, which is unlikely to ever happen,the population would still pass the Malthusian limit well before 2100.

  3.本国公司把印度的歇息人口当作便宜歇息力。

  4.印度今朝的人口是12.5亿。2050年估计将到达15.2亿,乃至超越中国的12.9亿。印度今朝的人口增加是不成继续的。即使有国际支援,食粮供应也将缺少,任务时机将会增加,饥荒和瘟疫将不成防止。避孕药具的缺少没有起就任何感化,而当局也简直没有发扬任何感化来阻拦人口增加。在这一点上,即使他们实施与中国相似的独生后代政策(这是不太能够爆发的),人口仍将在2100年之前远远超越马尔萨斯人话柄际的限制。

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